The “What If” Dream of Investing
We’ve all had that daydream in the world of investing.
What if I had bought Apple stock before the iPhone launched?
What if I had invested in Amazon before Prime took over the world?
And of course, the big one: what if I had put money into Google ten years ago?
It’s not just a dinner table conversation. It pops up in TikTok finance videos, YouTube shorts, and even in our own thoughts whenever the stock market is booming. The truth is, many of us wonder – if I had just invested in a great company years ago, where would I be today?
So here’s the big question: if you had invested in Google (now Alphabet) back in 2015, could you retire in 2025?
The short answer: No – unless you already had a lot of money to start with.
The longer answer reveals a much bigger lesson about how wealth is actually built.

Google Stock: 2015 vs. 2025
At the end of 2015, Google stock traded around $37 per share (split-adjusted).
By the end of 2025, it’s worth about $251 per share.
That’s roughly a 6.7x increase in 10 years.
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Let’s break it down in dollars:
$1,000 invested → about $6,700 today
$10,000 invested → about $67,000 today
$100,000 invested → about $670,000 today
For comparison: the S&P 500 has about tripled in the same time. So yes, Google outperformed – but the size of your starting investment matters most.
Is That Enough to Retire?
Retirement isn’t just about having a big chunk of money.
It’s about having enough money to live on sustainably.
Financial planners often use the 4% rule – the idea that you can safely withdraw 4% of your savings each year without running out too soon.
To generate $40,000 per year, you’d need about $1 million saved.
For $60,000 per year, you’d need about $1.5 million.
So if you only invested in Google:
You’d have needed to have put in $150,000 back in 2015 to reach around $1 million today.
Or about $225,000 to reach $1.5 million.
That kind of starting cash wasn’t realistic for most people.
The Average Investor Story
Most people in 2015 didn’t have that much lying around – and even if they did, few would put it all into one company.
Remember: in 2015, Google was already a giant, but no one could guarantee it would keep climbing. Betting everything on one stock would have felt risky.
For a typical investor:
$2,000 → about $13,400 today
$5,000 → about $33,500 today
Great gains, but still nowhere near enough for retirement.
What If You Invested Monthly?
Now let’s imagine you put in $500 every month into Google stock from 2015 through 2025.
Total contributions: $60,000
Value today: $400,000–$420,000
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That’s life-changing money, but still not enough to retire on comfortably.
This proves something powerful: consistent investing works – but relying on just one stock limits the outcome.
The Dividend Question
Unlike Apple or Microsoft, Google doesn’t pay a dividend.
That means if you want to spend your investment in retirement, you’d have to sell shares instead of collecting steady cash payouts. For retirement planning, that can be less convenient.
Why Betting on a Single Stock Is Risky
We love the “what if” stories. If I had bought Google, Tesla, or Nvidia years ago… but they can be misleading.
Here’s why:
Timing is impossible. Nobody in 2015 knew Google would grow this much.
Winners are rare. For every Google, there are hundreds of companies that fail.
Diversification is key. True wealth comes from spreading investments across many companies or funds.
Even Warren Buffett recommends average investors put their money in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund instead of chasing single stocks.
Google’s 2025 Challenges
Even today, Google faces new hurdles:
AI competition from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others is reshaping search and advertising.
Antitrust lawsuits in the U.S. and Europe are pressuring Big Tech.
Shifting habits – younger generations often search on TikTok or Reddit instead of Google.
Relying on a single company always comes with risks.
The Real Lesson
So, could you have retired in 2025 if you invested in Google in 2015?
Yes, if you had put in hundreds of thousands of dollars.
For the average investor, the answer is no.
But the bigger truth is this:
Investing works. Over time, the market grows.
Consistency wins. Monthly contributions beat one lucky gamble.
Diversify. Never put all your eggs in one basket.
Final Takeaway
Investing isn’t about finding one “magic stock”.
It’s about building the habit – saving regularly, investing wisely, and letting time do the heavy lifting.
Yes, Google made a lot of people rich. But retiring on just one stock is incredibly rare.
For most of us, the path is clear:
Start now. Stay consistent. Diversify your portfolio.
And maybe, ten years from now, someone will be saying about you:
“If only I had done what they did back in 2025…”









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